I think though that the weight of the rig should be considered in this equation. On the harryproa, the rig to leeward will decrease righting moment.
I made a simple Excel sheet to investigate.
My assumptions were a 1000kg proa where 100kg is in the beams/trampoline, and 100kg in the rig/sails, which would fly a hull at 10 degrees. You can see the rest of my assumptions in the pictures below.
I found out that if we don't consider wind gradients, the weight of the rig is the dominant factor here. So if all else equal, the boat with the rig to leeward (harryproa) will have less righting moment margins. Because the heeling moment (with a constant wind), is the same in both cases, if you think about it.
But then I added some math to include wind gradients, and then the results aligns well with your words. Because then the height of the rig impacts the sail forces due to the wind gradients, and the boat with the rig to leeward produces less heeling moment at high angles of heel. But it depends a lot on the wind gradients (hellmans exponent) of the location.
I'm sure you have done similar calculations, but I'm sharing my results here for others.
This is results without wind gradients (Hellman = 0):
This is results with some wind gradient (Hellman = 0.2):
This is results with an even higher wind gradient (Hellman = 0.4):
So in this case, the harryproa would be less likely to capsize, imo, despite having less stability while just starting to fly a hull. So that is interesting.
I have very little experience reading the wind and judging the wind gradients, but a guy I'm sailing with claims he has observed that the wind some days is completely calm on the surface, while there is still a decent wind some meters up, indicating a high gradient (and hellman exponent), I assume.
This is the table from Wikipedia.
location | α |
---|
Unstable air above open water surface: | 0.06 |
Neutral air above open water surface: | 0.10 |
Unstable air above flat open coast: | 0.11 |
Neutral air above flat open coast: | 0.16 |
Stable air above open water surface: | 0.27 |
Unstable air above human inhabited areas: | 0.27 |
Neutral air above human inhabited areas: | 0.34 |
Stable air above flat open coast: | 0.40 |
Stable air above human inhabited areas: | 0.60 |
Not sure what we typically have on the lake where I sail, or on the coast to the ocean, or how you judge "unstable" or "stable" air, in this context. But if it is a windy day, where you are more likely to capsize in the first place, my assumption is that the air is unstable, which would give a lower hellmans exponent, so less of and advantage to the harryproa?
But then you could just increase the beam of the harryproa, I guess, since there is no rig load on the beams, so the beams could be both longer and lighter.
Doug, good point about the windage of the WW hull flying. The hull will expose the same area on both the cat and the harryproa, if we continue to consider as many things as possible equal. That area might add more heeling moment than the blocked sail though. But on the cat it will block less of the sail, so better for the harryproa.
Björn